How MLBs Tankathon Is Skewing The Trade Market

Indians155291.795.313.31.9 Where each team stands at the 2018 deadlineTeams ranked by Doyle Number — how many future wins of talent a team should trade away to acquire 1 win this season Athletics153287.227.62.70.8 Cautious BuyersElo RatingExp. Wins per 162 gamesDiv. Series OddsWorld Series OddsDoyle Number Astros158699.291.621.12.2 Brewers152285.051.94.21.2 Twins149679.14.00.20.1 Padres143966.60.00.00.0 Expected wins are derived from the team’s current Elo rating.Source: FanGraphs.com Braves150781.534.92.00.8 White Sox143766.00.00.00.0 Orioles143265.00.00.00.0 Phillies150681.551.53.01.0 Solid BuyersElo RatingExp. Wins per 162 gamesDiv. Series OddsWorld Series OddsDoyle Number Rockies151583.336.52.50.9 Rangers148276.10.00.00.0 Diamondbacks153287.347.5%4.7%1.2 Red Sox1591100.296.7%23.8%2.2 Although the share of prospects in the hands of top teams isn’t a perfect predictor of how many deadline deals will go down,3Since 2009, its correlation with the share of all trades that happened at the deadline was 0.36. it does speak broadly to the ability of contenders to act on the advice that their Doyle Number would recommend. In 2016, for instance, the Cubs’ surplus of top prospects — and urgency to win a World Series after a 108-year dry spell — led Chicago to trade a number of gifted farmhands (headlined by stellar 2018 rookie Gleyber Torres) to the Yankees for a few months’ rental of closer Aroldis Chapman.It wasn’t the first time that future talent was pawned off for an immediate payoff, and it was far from the last. Because of their low pay and endless promise, minor leaguers serve as the ultimate grease in the wheels of the trade-deadline machine. And they may yet help smooth along another blockbuster in the next few hours, perhaps one including Bryce Harper, Jacob deGrom, J.T. Realmuto or Chris Archer. But if the deadline does end up feeling a little slower than we’d expect from the buyer/seller profiles implied by this year’s standings, it could just be because most of the buyers have already bought and the sellers have already sold.Check out our latest MLB predictions. Cubs155692.479.311.71.9 Tigers144968.70.20.00.0 Cardinals151383.06.60.40.2 Mariners151984.440.63.11.0 Angels151783.81.50.10.0 Blue Jays148576.70.00.00.0 Reds147975.40.20.00.0 Giants149879.53.70.20.1 Major League Baseball’s annual trade deadline — this year’s version of which falls at 4 p.m. Eastern on Tuesday — is an annual chance for teams to take stock of their short- and long-term future plans. As our research has shown in the past, World Series front-runners should generally be willing to give up quite a large bushel of future assets in exchange for talent that might bring them a ring in the here and now. Meanwhile, teams on the fringe of the playoffs should be relatively indifferent between playing for the future or the present, and bottom-feeders should frantically sell everything they can.Those guidelines become apparent when we run our “Doyle Number” statistic for this season’s teams. As a quick refresher, the Doyle Number1Named after the infamous 1987 trade in which the Detroit Tigers sent future Hall of Famer John Smoltz, then a 20-year-old prospect, to the Atlanta Braves for 36-year-old Doyle Alexander. represents how many future wins of talent a team should be willing to part with to acquire 1 extra win of rental talent over the remainder of this season (including the playoffs).So the Boston Red Sox, who have the highest Doyle Number in baseball, should be willing to trade away up to 2.2 wins of future talent in exchange for every 1 win of talent they acquire for this year’s stretch run — they’re clear deadline buyers. By contrast, teams with Doyle numbers around zero are obvious sellers — they have no reason to give up future talent to acquire extra wins this season. Finally, a Doyle of 1.0 means a team could swing either way between buying and selling.Here are this year’s Doyle Numbers (as of July 30): Royals141461.00.00.00.0 Nationals152284.99.1%0.7%0.3 Rays150581.20.60.00.0 Pirates150080.08.00.40.2 This year’s crop of buyers is unusually robust — three teams have Doyle Numbers north of 2.0 (most recent years have usually had only one or two) and six teams are at or above a Doyle of 1.8 (when the typical year has two or three in that range). At the same time, 12 teams have Doyle Numbers that round to 0.0, compared with an average of nine in the previous three years we’ve been calculating the metric.It’s all a consequence of this supremely stratified, tank-tastic MLB season. On the one hand, you might imagine that such a surplus of buyers and sellers would pave the way for more trades than usual, since a lot of teams have their motivations aligned for deal-making. And there have been some notable moves made thus far: Manny Machado to the Dodgers, Cole Hamels to the Cubs, Ian Kinsler to the Red Sox, Mike Moustakas to the Brewers, J.A. Happ to the Yankees and so forth. But the particulars of this year’s market could also play some tricks with what we think of as ordinary deadline business, when we consider who has how much of which asset — long-term vs. short, young talent vs. established stars. Elite teams can only swap with rebuilding ones if they have the right prospects to send away, and there’s evidence that many of the best youngsters have already flowed from the contenders to the tankers before anybody had a chance to do their deadline shopping.To see this, we can look at how many members of Baseball America’s Top 100 prospects are in the farm systems of top teams, as opposed to everybody else. For each full season since 1990,2So, excluding partial seasons in 1994 and 1995. I gathered the list of top prospects and assigned each ranking slot its average future value, according to my research here. To focus on prospects that haven’t yet made a dent in the big leagues — i.e., the kind more likely to be thrown into deadline trades — I filtered out players who exhausted their rookie eligibility during the season in question (or, for this year, players who are on pace to do so). Finally, I calculated the percentage of leaguewide prospect value that belonged to teams in the top third of all MLB teams by projected end-of-season record (using our Elo ratings, as of July 30 each season). And this year, only 27.5 percent of prospect value is in the systems of top-tier teams, the lowest such mark in any full season since 1991. Yankees158398.677.517.22.1 Marlins145068.90.10.00.0 Dodgers156494.265.611.01.8 Mets147073.40.10.00.0 SellersElo RatingExp. Wins per 162 gamesDiv. Series OddsWorld Series OddsDoyle Number read more

Walcott Wenger has unfinished business in football

first_imgTheo Walcott expects to see his former Arsenal boss Arsene Wenger back in the dugout soonThe veteran coach has announced plans to make a football comeback by January after leaving Arsenal at the end of last season.The likes of AC Milan, Real Madrid and Bayern Munich have been linked with Wenger following his announcement last month.And Walcott, who spent 12 years playing for Wenger at Arsenal, reckons that the 69-year-old’s time in football is not over yet.“I still think he’s got unfinished business and there’s a missing chapter for him,” Walcott told BBC’s Premier League Show.Jose Mourinho is sold on Lampard succeeding at Chelsea Tomás Pavel Ibarra Meda – September 14, 2019 Jose Mourinho wanted to give his two cents on Frank Lampard’s odds as the new Chelsea FC manager, he thinks he will succeed.There really…“He’s a father figure, he gave me the opportunity at a young age, took the pressure off me and put it on himself when he didn’t need to do it.”Walcott left Arsenal in January for Everton in a reported £20m deal.The English forward managed 108 goals and 77 assists in 397 appearances across all competitions for Arsenal.He also won three FA Cup titles and two Community Shield crowns.last_img read more

DC Jazz Festival Celebrates 10th Anniversary with Top Artists

first_imgEsperanza Spalding will perform at the DC Jazz Festival.The DC Jazz Festival celebrates its 10th anniversary this year with over 125 performances across more than 60 venues throughout the Washington area. The festivities run from June 10 to June 16 and aid in the DC Jazz Festival’s mission to diversify the jazz audience and expand its following.The festival lineup will feature the musical styling of a variety of artists, including the Afro Horn Sextet, The Bad Trio plus renowned saxophonist Joshua Redman, the Charlie Hunter Trio, Academy Award-winning rapper Common, the seven-member Cookers band, and bassist/singer/composer sensation Esperanza Spalding as well as up and coming talent.Since its inception, the festival has sought to provide, “enriching and entertaining jazz performances and programs that introduce students and adults from all walks of life to jazz, our nation’s singular original art form,” according to its organizers.Joshua Redman will perform at the DC Jazz Festival.The festival also offers “pay-as-you-can” and free performances throughout the week as part of one of its major features, Jazz in the ‘Hoods.In its fifth consecutive year, this series partners with varies venues throughout Washington – from local clubs to galleries to bring the musical influences of jazz to communities that might not otherwise have the exposure.Common will perform at the DC Jazz Festival.This is especially true for the East River JazzFest, which caters specifically to residents of Ward 7 and Ward 8, both east of the Anacostia River, where performances will be held at local libraries and senior wellness centers.Other festival programs include DC JazzFest at the Yards June 12 and 13 in Yards Park at Capital Riverfront, DC JazzFest at the Hamilton hotel from June 10 to 16 and the Capital Bop DC Jazz Loft Series from June 11 to 13.The festival also features an education component through its Roberta Flack Education Program. One is Jazz for a Healthier Generation, which uses the genre to promote a healthier lifestyle and encouragement for the ill. Another is Jazzin’ at Sitar, “a year-round weekly instrument and jazz history sessions for Sitar music students,” according to dcjazzfest.org.For more information on DC Jazz Festival, including event schedules and artist biographies, visit the official website, www.dcjazzfest.org.last_img read more

Train services disrupted in Sealdah South section

first_imgKolkata: Train services were disrupted on Monday night and Tuesday afternoon in the Sealdah South section of Eastern Railway.On Monday, around 8:30 pm, one pantograph of Down Sealdah-Lakshmikantapur local broke after reaching Baruipur station. As a result, power services to the train was cut-off. Immediately engineers of Eastern Railway were informed. One tower van was also sent to repair the damaged pantograph. But, engineers were not able to repair it soon. Also Read – Rs 13,000 crore investment to provide 2 lakh jobs: MamataSome passengers allegedly ransacked the Baruipur station around 11:30 pm as the repair-work was taking time. Railway Protection Force (RPF) and Government Railway Police (GRP) intervened and brought the situation under control. Repair work went on throughout the night and normal train services were resumed on Tuesday morning. After Monday night, train services were again hampered in the South Section on Tuesday afternoon due to road traffic congestion at Kakulia Gate near Ballygunge railway station. Also Read – Lightning kills 8, injures 16 in stateAccording to Eastern Railway authority, train services in Ballygunge – Sonarpur and Ballygunge – Budge Budge sections were delayed due to road traffic congestion at the Level Crossing (LC) Gate No. 5ST near Ballygunje, which popularly known as Kakulia Gate. The heavy rush of road traffic at this LC Gate since 3 pm caused delay in closing the gate and granting proceed signal to the trains. Situation turned normal in the evening. Eastern Railway authority has also informed that train services will be partially affected due to the maintenance work on down line between Chakdaha, S imurali and Madanpur stations in Naihati-Ranaghat section which will commence from May 2. It will continue till May 15 as traffic block will be implemented. Several trains will be cancelled and many more will be controlled enroute.last_img read more

Create Your Own Chatbot Online and Increase Productivity

first_img Attend this free webinar and learn how you can maximize efficiency while getting the most critical things done right. Opinions expressed by Entrepreneur contributors are their own. April 4, 2017 Free Webinar | Sept 5: Tips and Tools for Making Progress Toward Important Goals Chatbots are wonderful tools for productivity and efficiency. They allow you to automate tasks which would otherwise take forever to complete, thereby enabling you to focus on other more important things related to your business.Bots are also potent enough to render app fatigue irrelevant. With the sheer number of apps these days, downloading a new app for undertaking just about any task — and being inundated by a range of notifications and instructions — can be energy-sapping. To circumvent this, you can create chatbots online to augment the efficiency of your existing apps.Using bots, you can engage more efficiently with your colleagues and/or clients in popular chat platforms where they are most likely to spend time — Facebook, Whatsapp, Slack, Twitter — as well as your own smartphone. Chatbots also give you the flexibility of remaining within the platforms and apps that you use most frequently, which reduces the chances of unnecessary distractions and impeding your productivity. Let’s take the case of Jarvis, which serves as a reminder bot embedded within Facebook messenger. Bots like these offer great convenience and streamline processes that would consume a lot of time, money, and energy.Related: Top 10 Best Chatbot Platform Tools to Build Chatbots for Your BusinessUtility at its best.You can use bots for just about anything, be it work-related purposes, shopping, buying tickets, addressing customer service issues, or influencer marketing. They can be utilized to heighten your business prospects by attracting new customers and retaining existing ones while lowering the dependency on time-consuming human intervention. Thankfully, the technology of artificial intelligence is becoming increasingly sophisticated, thereby constantly expanding the scope of chatbots. In the parlance of managing your brand, these bots can take a lot of burden off your shoulders and help you become more productive.Related: How to Create a Facebook Messenger Chatbot For Free Without CodingSimplify things; don’t complicate them.Most of us have already been utilizing automation, even on a small scale. Whether it’s the self-service kiosks, touch screens, or the numerous features in our smartphones, we’re subconsciously wired to the benefits of automation — as long as it makes things easier and doesn’t complicate them. As a business or an entrepreneur, you may want to ensure that you communicate with your customers in a manner with which feel comfortable and knowledgeable. When you do that, a lot of things begin to fall in place and your overall productivity increases. Using new technologies merely for the sake of using them when the customers are simply not ready isn’t going to get you anywhere.Related: 7 Ways Chatbots Can Benefit Your Marketing StrategyEnsure adequate engagement.As you progress further in your business or entrepreneurial journey, you’re likely to develop a steady online following. Remember, they are going to be responsive only if you offer something that holds their attention. Not adopting a thoughtful approach while curating your chatbot can seriously hamper productivity, because negative publicity spreads faster than positive publicity. To that end, understand the needs and preferences of your customers before having them interact with bots. When a bot-customer conversation is initiated, ensure that it is engaging, interactive, specific, and yes, time-saving. No one is going to wait beyond a few minutes for your chatbot to respond.Related: Top 7 Chatbot Monetization Strategies You Need to KnowProductivity benefits within an organization.Chatbots can be used by members of a company or organization to keep them updated about new agendas and projects, which in turn helps plan out their workload accordingly. Bots can set up daily reminders and create an inclusive community that unites the entire workforce for a dedicated cause. As opposed to setting up manual calendar reminders, you can leverage chatbots as an accessible, centralized reference point within existing online communication platforms. In addition, brands can use chatbots for their training programs where they can brief new employees about the various company policies and ensure they have a smooth transition. The good thing about bots is their quick response times, reduced errors, and ability to tackle multiple tasks simultaneously. For instance, Riot aims to identify a chatbot within its web messaging community to simplify mundane tasks for its customers by launching close to three fresh bots per weeks (internally).Related: 10 Facebook Messenger Chatbot Marketing Expert TipsRespect your customers and their choices.Customers may become irritated when they are forced into engaging with a peripatetic chatbot when they actually look forward to interacting with another human with clear-cut responses. In your zest to develop an amazingly cool chatbot, you may want to remember the timeless golden rule: it is the customer that counts — always.Understand and respect what your customer expects out of you and deliver it. If they are comfortable with a button within the chatbot window that they can click on to begin interacting with a real person, then do exactly that. If done appropriately, chatbots can make a lot of contribution to your business’s overall productivity. They can also make your employees perform better and with heightened clarity by sharing some of their burden, which takes a lot of their time. Since chatbots are all set to become more evolved, you may want to integrate them intelligently to position your brand in the right place and make the most of what technology has to offer. Register Now » 5 min readlast_img read more