How MLBs Tankathon Is Skewing The Trade Market

Indians155291.795.313.31.9 Where each team stands at the 2018 deadlineTeams ranked by Doyle Number — how many future wins of talent a team should trade away to acquire 1 win this season Athletics153287.227.62.70.8 Cautious BuyersElo RatingExp. Wins per 162 gamesDiv. Series OddsWorld Series OddsDoyle Number Astros158699.291.621.12.2 Brewers152285.051.94.21.2 Twins149679.14.00.20.1 Padres143966.60.00.00.0 Expected wins are derived from the team’s current Elo rating.Source: FanGraphs.com Braves150781.534.92.00.8 White Sox143766.00.00.00.0 Orioles143265.00.00.00.0 Phillies150681.551.53.01.0 Solid BuyersElo RatingExp. Wins per 162 gamesDiv. Series OddsWorld Series OddsDoyle Number Rockies151583.336.52.50.9 Rangers148276.10.00.00.0 Diamondbacks153287.347.5%4.7%1.2 Red Sox1591100.296.7%23.8%2.2 Although the share of prospects in the hands of top teams isn’t a perfect predictor of how many deadline deals will go down,3Since 2009, its correlation with the share of all trades that happened at the deadline was 0.36. it does speak broadly to the ability of contenders to act on the advice that their Doyle Number would recommend. In 2016, for instance, the Cubs’ surplus of top prospects — and urgency to win a World Series after a 108-year dry spell — led Chicago to trade a number of gifted farmhands (headlined by stellar 2018 rookie Gleyber Torres) to the Yankees for a few months’ rental of closer Aroldis Chapman.It wasn’t the first time that future talent was pawned off for an immediate payoff, and it was far from the last. Because of their low pay and endless promise, minor leaguers serve as the ultimate grease in the wheels of the trade-deadline machine. And they may yet help smooth along another blockbuster in the next few hours, perhaps one including Bryce Harper, Jacob deGrom, J.T. Realmuto or Chris Archer. But if the deadline does end up feeling a little slower than we’d expect from the buyer/seller profiles implied by this year’s standings, it could just be because most of the buyers have already bought and the sellers have already sold.Check out our latest MLB predictions. Cubs155692.479.311.71.9 Tigers144968.70.20.00.0 Cardinals151383.06.60.40.2 Mariners151984.440.63.11.0 Angels151783.81.50.10.0 Blue Jays148576.70.00.00.0 Reds147975.40.20.00.0 Giants149879.53.70.20.1 Major League Baseball’s annual trade deadline — this year’s version of which falls at 4 p.m. Eastern on Tuesday — is an annual chance for teams to take stock of their short- and long-term future plans. As our research has shown in the past, World Series front-runners should generally be willing to give up quite a large bushel of future assets in exchange for talent that might bring them a ring in the here and now. Meanwhile, teams on the fringe of the playoffs should be relatively indifferent between playing for the future or the present, and bottom-feeders should frantically sell everything they can.Those guidelines become apparent when we run our “Doyle Number” statistic for this season’s teams. As a quick refresher, the Doyle Number1Named after the infamous 1987 trade in which the Detroit Tigers sent future Hall of Famer John Smoltz, then a 20-year-old prospect, to the Atlanta Braves for 36-year-old Doyle Alexander. represents how many future wins of talent a team should be willing to part with to acquire 1 extra win of rental talent over the remainder of this season (including the playoffs).So the Boston Red Sox, who have the highest Doyle Number in baseball, should be willing to trade away up to 2.2 wins of future talent in exchange for every 1 win of talent they acquire for this year’s stretch run — they’re clear deadline buyers. By contrast, teams with Doyle numbers around zero are obvious sellers — they have no reason to give up future talent to acquire extra wins this season. Finally, a Doyle of 1.0 means a team could swing either way between buying and selling.Here are this year’s Doyle Numbers (as of July 30): Royals141461.00.00.00.0 Nationals152284.99.1%0.7%0.3 Rays150581.20.60.00.0 Pirates150080.08.00.40.2 This year’s crop of buyers is unusually robust — three teams have Doyle Numbers north of 2.0 (most recent years have usually had only one or two) and six teams are at or above a Doyle of 1.8 (when the typical year has two or three in that range). At the same time, 12 teams have Doyle Numbers that round to 0.0, compared with an average of nine in the previous three years we’ve been calculating the metric.It’s all a consequence of this supremely stratified, tank-tastic MLB season. On the one hand, you might imagine that such a surplus of buyers and sellers would pave the way for more trades than usual, since a lot of teams have their motivations aligned for deal-making. And there have been some notable moves made thus far: Manny Machado to the Dodgers, Cole Hamels to the Cubs, Ian Kinsler to the Red Sox, Mike Moustakas to the Brewers, J.A. Happ to the Yankees and so forth. But the particulars of this year’s market could also play some tricks with what we think of as ordinary deadline business, when we consider who has how much of which asset — long-term vs. short, young talent vs. established stars. Elite teams can only swap with rebuilding ones if they have the right prospects to send away, and there’s evidence that many of the best youngsters have already flowed from the contenders to the tankers before anybody had a chance to do their deadline shopping.To see this, we can look at how many members of Baseball America’s Top 100 prospects are in the farm systems of top teams, as opposed to everybody else. For each full season since 1990,2So, excluding partial seasons in 1994 and 1995. I gathered the list of top prospects and assigned each ranking slot its average future value, according to my research here. To focus on prospects that haven’t yet made a dent in the big leagues — i.e., the kind more likely to be thrown into deadline trades — I filtered out players who exhausted their rookie eligibility during the season in question (or, for this year, players who are on pace to do so). Finally, I calculated the percentage of leaguewide prospect value that belonged to teams in the top third of all MLB teams by projected end-of-season record (using our Elo ratings, as of July 30 each season). And this year, only 27.5 percent of prospect value is in the systems of top-tier teams, the lowest such mark in any full season since 1991. Yankees158398.677.517.22.1 Marlins145068.90.10.00.0 Dodgers156494.265.611.01.8 Mets147073.40.10.00.0 SellersElo RatingExp. Wins per 162 gamesDiv. Series OddsWorld Series OddsDoyle Number read more

Modern Luxury Surpasses 1M Ad Sales Mark for Manhattan Mag Launch

first_imgAs it preps for the September launch of Manhattan magazine, Modern Luxury Media has acquired luxury lifestyle e-zine Juli B, bringing a 700,000-name email list of readers in fourteen cities with it. Terms of the deal were not disclosed. Juli B. delivers approximately 60 million email impressions per year, according to Modern Luxury CEO Michael Kong, as each edition is bi-weekly. “Many city magazines offer ‘email blasts’ to their subscribers that don’t even top 5,000 recipients,” Kong wrote to FOLIO: in an email. “With Juli B., we’ve got real scale and should be right on the radar screen of big national advertisers as well as smaller regional ones.” Modern Luxury will publish magazines in thirteen of Juli B.’s fourteen markets once it launches Manhattan, which will be distributed directly to 60,000 New York metropolitan area homes. The acquisition is particularly timely, according to the company, because of Juli B.’s “New York roots and the fact that the New York edition was the first and remains the biggest,” with approximately 108,000 of its readers located there. According to Kong, Manhattan surpassed its first issue ad revenue goal of $1 million several months ago. The magazine is set to launch with about 240 pages, 60 percent of which will be editorial. The acquisition of Juli B. is a first move in a series of planned digital initiatives, according to the company. Modern Luxury will announce another “major launch” in the coming weeks, Kong wrote.last_img read more

Alia Bhatt to kickstart shooting for Rajamoulis RRR featuring Ajay Devgn Ram

first_imgRRR release dateSS Rajamouli’s RRR is currently the most-talked-about movie in Tollywood. It is a known fact that Alia Bhatt has been roped in to play one of the female leads in the movie. Fresh reports are that Alia Bhatt will be part of a one-month schedule. As per the report, Alia Bhatt is all set to head to New Delhi to start shooting for RRR. Alia is to be seen as one of the female leads in this movie which is a fictional representation of the lives of two patriotic heroes. Ram Charan and Alia Bhatt are paired up to play the roles of Alluri Seetharama Raju and Sita, respectively. Alia BhattTwitterIt has been reported that one of the shoot schedules was recently wrapped up. One of the sources believes that the one-month schedule would be shot at different places and real locations, rather than laying huge sets. The same source reports that a few action sequences will be compiled too. So, it appears like SS Rajamouli and team are going to have a busy summer.NTR is to play the role of Komaram Bheem in this movie. SS Rajamouli has invited the public to propose for an apt title which would match the abbreviation for RRR. Ajay Devgn will be seen in an important role in this fictional drama.Rajamouli intends to wrap up the shoot this year and move on to post-production works. RRR is all set to hit the screens on July 30, 2020.last_img read more

BNP calls formation of joint working group an uncertain process

first_imgmirza fakhrul islam alamgirBangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) on Monday opposed the decision of Bangladesh and Myanmar to form a joint working group to start the repatriation process of all the Rohingyas staying in Bangladesh, saying it is an uncertain process to resolve the crisis, reports UNB.”The formation of a joint working group is an uncertain process to resolve the issue. Such a decision has manifested that the government is going to fail to have a quick solution to the Rohingya crisis. It’s also failed to make the international community understand the dangerous situation Bangladesh is now facing,” said BNP secretary general Mirza Fakhrul Islam Alamgir.Speaking at a documentary screening programme, the BNP leader renewed their party’s call for forging a national unity to overcome the Rohingya crisis.”We’ve long been talking about forming a national unity to face the challenge. Unfortunately, the government is not paying any heed to it as its policy is to divide the nation.”He urged the government to call a national convention to forge the unity and take steps to send an all-party delegation to different countries to push for resolving the problem.Jatiyatabadi Samajik Sangskritik Sangstha (Jasas) screened the documentary at Kendrio Kochi Kachar Mela auditorium on the plight of Rohingyas and repression on them.Earlier at a meeting of officials of the Bangladesh and Myanmar at the state guesthouse Padma, the two countries agreed to form a joint working group to start the repatriation process of all the Rohingyas living in Bangladesh, which Dhaka sees as a “progress.””It’ll soon be formed and I’m hopeful (about a solution),” Foreign Minister AH Mahmood Ali told reporters in the afternoon mentioning that Myanmar came up with the proposal of repatriation of the Rohingyas.He, however, said the composition of the joint working group will be finalised later. “We’ll give our names from our side while they’ll give their names [for the joint working group].”Fakhrul said the government has failed to portrait the Rohingya crisis and genocide against them by the Myanmar authorities before the international community.”People of Bangladesh have come under an attack through the problem. The government has failed to convince the international community how humanity, and Bangladesh’s independence, sovereignty, economy, environment and society have been affected by the Rohingya crisis.”He also criticised the government for not sending any high-profile delegation to any country and for not intensifying its diplomatic efforts to get influential countries’ support to resolve the Rohingya crisis.He also urged the country’s people to get united to drum up a strong public opinion across the country and abroad to stop persecution on Rohingyas and force the Myanmar authorities to take back their citizens ensuring their rights, citizenship and dignity.last_img read more

Road crash in southern India kills 8

first_imgRoad Accident logoAt least eight people were killed and over 10 others injured after a passenger bus fell off a bridge into a pond in the southern Indian state of Karnataka on Saturday, police said.The accident occurred near Karekere on national highway 75 in the state’s Hassan district, some 250 km from Karnataka capital Bengaluru.“The state-owned bus carrying 50 people, including a driver and a conductor, plunged into the pond after breaking the railing of the bridge this morning when its driver lost control of the speeding vehicle,” a senior police official said.While eight people, including two women, died on the spot, those injured have been admitted to a nearby hospital, he said. “The driver also died in the accident,” the official added.The bus was on its way to Dharmastala from Bengaluru when the incident took place.Preliminary probe revealed that the accident happened due to the negligence of the bus driver, the official said. “Anyway, we will wait for the final probe report after considering the eye-witness accounts of local residents,” he added.India has the highest number of road fatalities in the world. Road accidents occur mostly due to poor driving or badly maintained roads and vehicles.last_img read more